Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 154.485524 179.244410 208.069172 244.447797 289.622445 344.530254 4.173406e+02
2025-06-01 119.794128 149.944728 188.861318 244.016863 322.307562 432.980248 6.082125e+02
2025-06-08 99.602225 130.825219 173.919318 240.003638 343.211502 506.792466 8.060692e+02
2025-06-15 89.824643 122.827641 171.046118 250.288410 385.337885 624.224999 1.131014e+03
2025-06-22 77.436448 108.726431 156.208101 238.021615 386.320166 670.711485 1.347880e+03
2025-06-29 69.971111 100.732539 149.133091 236.470630 404.867362 756.034181 1.704817e+03
2025-07-06 64.111527 94.351130 143.486469 235.939283 424.735205 851.541514 2.163033e+03
2025-07-13 61.752348 93.187466 146.192183 250.949892 480.221616 1053.756729 3.147491e+03
2025-07-20 60.200650 93.095604 150.623902 270.094516 551.073157 1335.653603 4.844342e+03
2025-07-27 56.588878 89.022746 147.227412 272.493054 583.208635 1527.595231 6.531685e+03
2025-08-03 53.954501 86.359633 146.059703 279.371398 629.206741 1796.317986 9.363863e+03
2025-08-10 50.544616 81.944917 140.937431 276.396236 647.678320 1982.256163 1.229241e+04
2025-08-17 47.724639 78.634255 138.167393 279.871324 691.171808 2328.202225 1.877259e+04
2025-08-24 44.744097 74.773240 133.891653 279.204960 723.684787 2673.497038 2.861378e+04
2025-08-31 41.758585 70.599820 128.417612 274.412665 741.454866 2975.287420 4.232375e+04
2025-09-07 40.446799 69.536169 129.403544 286.683029 824.986595 3776.352760 9.132772e+04
2025-09-14 37.278793 64.499453 121.087242 272.050853 802.722879 3880.532376 1.212069e+05
2025-09-21 35.323508 61.742127 117.556311 270.203729 830.870513 4408.130439 2.272546e+05
2025-09-28 33.631466 59.375502 114.637879 269.571082 864.597249 5064.792408 5.037162e+05
2025-10-05 33.211312 59.591498 117.709756 287.473197 990.730869 6945.339852 4.165247e+06
2025-10-12 33.023698 60.272515 121.980279 310.392770 1159.778808 10130.252246 3.776966e+11
2025-10-19 31.777693 58.563856 120.189693 313.270937 1228.965751 12385.071252 NaN
2025-10-26 30.877085 57.533793 119.976583 321.532795 1336.422957 16145.873035 NaN